Written by 5:44 PM General • 2 Comments Views: 2

Market Chaos

Bond-trading How desperate are people to find safe places to put their money?  Desperate enough to panic-buy U.S. treasury bills and drive the yield down to 0.01% (No, not 1%.  Near 0%. Almost nothing).

That means investors would rather stash their money in safe U.S. treasuries with NO return than take their chances with the alternatives.  Laurentian’s Carlos Leitao says,” What you see is firms hoarding cash. Cash is not just king, it’s emperor.” (CEP)

Things got so silly today that S&P even thought it necessary to come out and affirm U.S. government debt was still AAA-rated.  Then we have gold, of course, which had it’s biggest 1-day dollar gain in history.

There is simply minimal confidence in non-government securities and non-hard assets at the moment.  Institutions are racing to cut their credit exposure wherever perceived threats exist.

Interestingly enough, even though Canadian bond yields have fallen big-time, the cost of funds for many mortgage lenders has actually gone up.  The spread on Canadian mortgage backed securities, for example, has risen 0.30% in recent days according to one source.  That means some lenders might actually be raising rates in the short term.

“Folks aren’t yet convinced the worst is over,” says BMO Nesbitt Burns’, Michael Herring. (Bloomberg)  A great many apparently agree.

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Last modified: April 25, 2014

Robert McLister is one of Canada’s best-known mortgage experts. A mortgage columnist for The Globe and Mail, interest rate analyst and editor of MortgageLogic.news, Rob has been covering Canada's mortgage market since 2007.

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