
Oxford Economics


Bank of Canada’s urge to cut rates fades amid tariff uncertainty
The Bank of Canada appears increasingly reluctant to cut rates further, with minutes from its March 12 meeting showing that its most recent move was driven largely by rising uncertainty over a potential trade war with the U.S.

Economists react to the Bank of Canada’s 25-bps rate cut: What’s next for rates?
The Bank of Canada cut its overnight rate by 25 basis points to 2.75%, its seventh straight cut. While expected, the move comes as the Bank tries to navigate economic uncertainty and the fallout from U.S. trade tensions.

Stronger-than-expected retail sales could delay Bank of Canada rate cuts
A surge in retail sales in December has added to the likelihood that the Bank of Canada will pause its rate cuts in March.

Bank of Canada’s March rate cut odds drop to 30% after latest inflation data
Canada’s inflation report for January has led to a sharp decline in the chances of the Bank of Canada cutting rates in March.

Bank of Canada officials worry that rate cuts may overheat the housing market
The Bank of Canada’s top decision-makers expressed concerns before announcing this month’s interest rate cut, fearing that the rate relief could potentially overheat the housing market.

2024 recession now expected to be “shallower and shorter,” says Oxford Economics
While Canada’s economy is still expected to enter a technical recession this year, Oxford Economics now believes the downturn will be less severe than initially thought.

Brace for recession (if we’re not already in one), economists say
Canada’s economy is headed for an imminent recession in 2024—that is, if we aren’t already in one, economists say.

Recession expected to drive home prices down another 10%: Oxford
In its economic and housing outlook released today, Oxford Economics is forecasting a mild recession by the end of the year will lead to an additional 10% decline in average house prices by early next year.