Interest Rates

The latest in interest rate movements, developing trends and future rate expectations. We regularly monitor bond yields and the impact on fixed mortgage rates, and well as Bank of Canada guidance and market forecasts on where variable rates are headed.

Whiplash in Canada’s bond market signals rate roller-coaster ahead, experts say

January 17, 2025 No Comments

When it comes to predicting mortgage rates, the only thing Canada’s mortgage experts are certain of right now is that nothing is certain.

Bank of Canada rate hikes in 2026? National Bank thinks so.

January 14, 2025 1 Comment

Just when Canadians thought Bank of Canada rate hikes were behind us, one major bank is now forecasting their return as early as next year.

60% of Canadian mortgage renewals to face higher rates by 2026: BoC

January 13, 2025 No Comments

Despite interest rates having fallen materially in 2024, recent data show that many Canadian homeowners could still face payment shocks when their mortgages renew.

U.S. Fed minutes signal cautious approach to rate cuts, January pause likely

January 8, 2025 No Comments

The Federal Open Market Committee’s (FOMC) latest minutes from its December 17-18 meeting reveal a more cautious approach to rate cuts, reinforcing expectations that the central bank will pause its rate cuts in January.

Housing and interest rate forecasts for 2025

December 30, 2024 1 Comment

As we reflect on 2024, it was a year of resilience and adjustment for Canada’s housing and mortgage market, marked by the Bank of Canada’s pivot to rate cuts after two years of relentless hikes, offering long-awaited relief to borrowers.

Fed minutes spark market turmoil: Making sense of it and why Canadian mortgage rates are likely to rise

December 18, 2024 3 Comments

I thought it would be really hard to top Monday’s chaotic events in Parliament, but it looks like I was wrong. Today at 2 p.m.,

Bond market bets on 50-bps Bank of Canada rate cut next week after rise in unemployment

December 6, 2024 No Comments

Observers say that if there’s one economic indicator likely to be concerning Bank of Canada officials, it’s the higher-than-expected rise in Canada’s unemployment rate last month.”

Why three big banks raised fixed mortgage rates despite falling bond yields

December 2, 2024 2 Comments

Despite low bond yields, banks and other lenders are continuing to raise rates. We talked to several rate experts to understand why.

Bank of Canada policy rate forecast 1.75 percent

Why one analyst thinks the Bank of Canada will be forced to cut its policy rate to 1.75%

November 25, 2024 No Comments

The Bank of Canada may be forced to continue lowering its policy rate more than markets are currently anticipating, with this easing cycle stretching into the second half of 2025.

Higher bond yields to push up fixed mortgage rates

Experts predict Canadian mortgage rates will rise next week following latest surge in bond yields

November 21, 2024 No Comments

In just two months, Canadian bond yields have surged by over 61 basis points (0.61 percentage points), with a jump of roughly 17 bps in the past week.

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